Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-20 10.141388 11.347908 12.651745 14.167242 15.882584 17.766466 19.995701
2025-04-27 8.527160 10.168413 12.068104 14.436519 17.320094 20.729302 25.083716
2025-05-04 7.217131 9.103962 11.425266 14.507524 18.517338 23.590331 30.547164
2025-05-11 6.023973 7.993490 10.554031 14.155587 19.136705 25.849688 35.694636
2025-05-18 5.107569 7.099514 9.824298 13.867840 19.790934 28.266142 41.521397
2025-05-25 4.387451 6.364820 9.199860 13.622671 20.461176 30.818856 48.050141
2025-06-01 3.830478 5.781592 8.704239 13.482949 21.259887 33.696624 55.657430
2025-06-08 3.387784 5.305671 8.298577 13.413471 22.151998 36.872305 64.406944
2025-06-15 3.108613 5.045023 8.189076 13.799347 23.853324 41.685324 77.020602
2025-06-22 2.778633 4.655920 7.814755 13.676393 24.649220 45.055880 87.717638
2025-06-29 2.462521 4.248308 7.352998 13.325689 24.967934 47.599698 97.361469
2025-07-06 2.216855 3.932105 7.008676 13.135860 25.555393 50.760895 108.994169
2025-07-13 2.063093 3.767838 6.927987 13.457515 27.257365 56.593366 128.111792
2025-07-20 1.933263 3.631714 6.882294 13.843894 29.172452 63.285283 151.025499
2025-07-27 1.793178 3.458127 6.740940 14.012343 30.655134 69.341906 174.095295
2025-08-03 1.626342 3.210954 6.420080 13.747692 31.119274 73.140185 192.440444
2025-08-10 1.483387 2.995332 6.136938 13.523874 31.643495 77.209839 212.743677
2025-08-17 1.359210 2.804312 5.881936 13.326010 32.199319 81.492859 234.978333
2025-08-24 1.255992 2.646164 5.678773 13.219970 32.971677 86.530200 261.084470
2025-08-31 1.168038 2.511339 5.510961 13.174747 33.899004 92.214204 291.102617
2025-09-07 1.118128 2.456074 5.518465 13.570849 36.101441 102.071438 338.407186
2025-09-14 1.040891 2.329137 5.341569 13.463325 36.876171 107.870132 373.535727
2025-09-21 0.957957 2.179790 5.092962 13.128239 36.932813 111.474911 401.909569